“Given that B”?
Restrict attention to B.
H1 MATHEMATICS · CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY
A focused guide for Singapore A-Level H1 Mathematics syllabus 8865. Turn “given that” into the correct denominator, then check whether the events are truly independent.
THE CENTRAL DISTINCTION
P(A | B) asks for the proportion of B that also lies in A. The information that B occurred changes the sample space.
Independence is a separate claim: knowing B does not change the probability of A, so P(A | B) = P(A).
THREE CHECKS
Restrict attention to B.
Check a valid equivalent condition; do not assume it from the wording.
The events cannot happen together.
WORKED EXAMPLE
In a class, 60% revise with notes N, 45% attempt timed papers T, and 30% do both. Find P(N | T) and determine whether N and T are independent.
Write the conditional-probability fraction before substituting values.
The condition is T, so P(T) is the denominator.
Therefore N and T are not independent.
COMMON MISTAKES
P(A | B) and P(B | A) usually have different denominators and different values.
Non-empty mutually exclusive events are not independent: one occurring rules out the other.
Verify it using probabilities unless the question explicitly states it.
State conclusions about the actual events, not only symbols or calculator output.
PRACTISE WITH FEEDBACK
Submit typed or handwritten working and ask Integrand to check the event definitions, denominator and conclusion.
Try IntegrandName each event clearly.
Use a table, tree or Venn diagram.
Answer in the language of the question.
QUICK QUESTIONS
It restricts the sample space to the event after the vertical bar. That event supplies the denominator in the conditional-probability formula.
Check whether P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B), or equivalently whether P(A | B) = P(A) when P(B) is non-zero.
Yes. Conditional probabilities in simple cases, probability rules and independence are included in Singapore A-Level H1 Mathematics syllabus 8865.
READY TO PRACTISE?